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May the trend is not good private chanting wet storage _ Finance

Chengdu by a reporter from the bottom of each Mao Jinnan market in the fall in April concluded, referring to the May market views, private persons generally maintained a cautious, according to the \Network Research Center survey of private fund, the market bearish in May accounted for 7 percent, only 2 look more into the market outlook,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and that the May 1 into the market to maintain market shocks. Beijing and poly investment research director Liu Youcheng that May is not the probability of collection of red, while the probability of falling flat disk or larger. The Shan Guotou a win into the No. 1 health trust and investment manager, said the rapid decline in the release of complete risk, May market was still worth the wait. For further views on the market in May, Shanghai Xin Lion Asset Management Ltd chairman Michael Wu and Wen Yuan Ge Capital Management Chief Investment Officer of Shen Yuan Wen, Xin Xu Chao Capital Section and head of research at private parties Zhou Haijun Shanghai four guests, more for the \Market square: at the bottom of the adjustment of the limited anti-side: the new downtrend has formed NBD: market continues to fall, the fall of 2900 points has been, whether a new round of market decline began? Mike Wu: The index on Tuesday fell below 2960 points effectively, there is no doubt that the new downward spiral has been formed, to enlarge the volume and turnover explain the focus of the market recovery decline. Shen Yuan-Wen: According to 20% in 2010 and 2009 growth rate of 28% of the performance, the market is basically in near the bottom,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], enter the value of the region, continue to adjust the space is limited. Zhou Haijun: I think the point in the fall of 2900 after the index plunged a row is unlikely, although there may be a wave of post-holiday drop inertia, but the rate will not be too big, not too long time, investors need not be too pessimistic. Xu Branch: Government regulation of real estate introduced the \Soon, on the regulation of the banking stocks most sensitive to the obvious first reaction, I believe the other plate will have been affected, because this round of regulation will be comprehensive, regardless of whether there is conscious decision-making to do so. Stock index futures square: not reverse the anti-party promotion Index: A stock market volatility increased terrorism NBD: a high-profile stock index futures plunged after the listing is whether the agency while in the venting of stock index futures, selling chips to Zapan choose whether investors should the trend of stock index futures up judged the broader market trend? Mike Wu: My view is bearish for the buying of stock index futures, will be in the hands of early re-sell the stock short selling chips weighed on the market, not the A shares of large institutional investors in the mainstream of current methods of operation, at least all of our services institutional investors do not use this mode of operation. Not significantly promote the index futures reversed direction, but it can speed up the index of the turbulent fluctuations. Shen Yuan-Wen: 21 May IF1005 from the contract settlement date is 15 trading days. After entering May, with the balance sheet date approaches, the long and short trading in the futures game will be more intense, Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 index constituent stocks as the main game will be more obvious characteristics of tools, A-share market will probably increase the volatility of large. Zhou Haijun: stock index futures from the published account situation, the agency open a futures account the ratio is not high, then the capacity of existing futures and stock market size is still very small compared to the futures account may not be covered by floating shares account earnings losses Therefore, selling chips for selection of short futures unlikely. Xu Branch: public fund has just been allowed to participate in stock index futures, from within the establishment are allowed to participate and then to a large number of relevant systems to participate in a process that requires observation over a period of time, now is not a reference value. But in the long run, stock index futures will always be a companion product, the stock market is mainly to see how to get the economic, performance, policy, liquidity and so on. Square cap stocks: the valuation advantage is more prominent anti-side: the overall opportunity is yet to come NBD: the market was finally ushered in the small cap stocks plummeted, a variety of subject shares wiped out,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and then the next have the opportunity to stabilize large-cap stocks bounce it? Mike Wu: I do not subjectively small cap or large cap stocks that rise and fall of the reasons is the style of switch, the market has never been possible to maintain twenty-eight or eighty-two this market to go very far. So we have the stock positions in large, medium and small stocks uniform configuration, to ensure safety. My view is that large-cap stocks must first move, and the prices can be stabilized, and do yield to rely on, small share. Shen Yuan-Wen: heavyweight risk by a rapid release of the valuation advantages will become more prominent, if no new bad, not much room for continued sell into. Zhou Haijun: opportunities for large capitalization stocks as a whole has not yet come, sector rotation is more likely to change my view on the short term, banks may have a better chance to plate. Xu Division: We do not advocate this distinction between large and small cap stocks, but to look to benefit from economic structural adjustment, the initial negative impact on the adjustment is relatively small, and the valuation of stocks on margin of safety. May trend Pros: Xianyihouyang back on the 3000 anti-side: the overall policy is still not close hand pessimistic NBD: 5 How do you determine the market in January? Mike Wu: I'm not going to predict prices, because I have never been accurately predicted, in fact, is not important to me to judge market, but by the market to tell me the right direction. Shen Yuan-Wen: 3361 points downward trend since the market channel, the channel on the rail line is obvious, then the next in a dynamic trajectory into the next trajectory in October 9, 2009 near the gap. Continuously adjusted gradually into oversold technical indicators, may set off after the low passive rally. Zhou Haijun: May be Xianyihouyang market, interest rates, financing, etc. may also be expected to drag the index lower volatility, but the downward adjustment of the space is already small. With the late gradual clear all expectations, the market is expected to reverse the decline, the index is expected back on the 3000 point integer mark. Xu Branch: May is too short, say a quarter of it. Callback is not truly comprehensive in house prices before the government will not and due from individuals tend to hand, otherwise the second half of the property market may have ushered in a new round of flood, the policy tightening is expected as long as this exists or not on the market as a whole there will be a very good trend. Individuals will be expected to have been put forward on the back of the credit, a series of tax policy, coupled with the continuous implementation of the policy before the overall economy will be gradually recovered mobility. Gradually lighten up wet storage operation based NBD: to keep the number of positions appropriate? Mike Wu: I You Sancheng warehouse, located in the two stocks, one medical unit and a liquor stocks. Shen Yuan-Wen: There can be maintained semi-position, Shigekura, positions can be filled by a rebound, and gradually reduce the positions. Zhou Haijun: Considering the latter there may be shock, continued into the following three positions. Xu Section: it is still wet storage. News Links last 10 years up 4 or 6 \Statistics from the historical point of view, \Rate movements on terms of a single index, the May 2006 monthly or more than 10% to 13.96%, was the cut-off point Contracts A shares. 5 times higher, respectively, also occurred in 2000, 2001, 2003, 2007 and 2009. May 2000 wave of A-share market is among the great bull market rally, lifting the month the Shanghai Composite Index 3.17% homeopathic. The year 2001, the Shanghai Composite Index plunged 20.62%, and 5 single month was up 4.49%, and closed at 2214.25 the City built a big shock top. May 2003 The Shanghai index reached the second highest point of the month rose 3.6%. 2007 bull market, led by the Shanghai Composite Index climbed to 4,000 points for the first time, the end of 3841.27 points from 4 soared 6.99% to 5 at the end of 4109.65 points. May 2009 in the Shanghai index also from 2477.57 points to 2632.93 points along the way line, rose to 6.27%. June 2002 high of A shares to the formation of two years,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and in May the market has dropped 9.11%. May 2004 dropped slightly by 2.49%. May 2005, the process is a bottom, the index fell 8.49% in June after a further decline and bottomed out. Volatility in the stock market in 2008, down on the occasion, after a slight rebound in April, May's on the Shanghai Composite Index continued to go down and eventually closed down 7.03%. From 6 up 4 or historical statistics shows that in May not to be \May 2010 April decline was a continuation of the \
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