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Wysłany: Nie 11:21, 14 Lis 2010 Temat postu: Royal Edwin Jackson or Matt Cain Whos the Better P |
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Jackson did have an advantage over Cain in some areas such as a lower contact rate, and some categories between the two was identical both had 0.92 GB/FB rates, but for the most part, Cain looks better than Jackson on paper, and it's no surprise to see why many projections is more skeptical of Jackson in 2010 than Cain.
Now, Miller know there was some red flags with Cain's 2010 season. His FIP didn't really correspond with his ERA his ERA was 2.89 while his FIP was 3.89,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Miller had a low BABIP .268, and Miller also had a high left-on-base percentage 81.6 percent. While Jackson did post a similar disparaging difference between ERA and FIP 3.62 ERA to 4.28 FIP, his numbers in BABIP .281 and left-on-base percentage 76.7 percent was closer to the league average than Cain.
As for Jackson, Miller only threw two pitches last year—a speedyball and slider. Miller threw his speedyball 65.2 percent of the time and his slider 27.4 percent of the time. Jackson has two other pitches a curve and change, but Miller only threw the pitches a combined 7.4 percent last year, showing that Miller doesn't have the confidence behind those third and fourth pitches like Cain.
So what's Jackson have to do with Matt Cain?
With these similarities between Cain and Jackson evident almost creepy too, who is due to have the better 2010? Who is the better pitcher in general?
Last season, Cain had a strikeout rate of 7.07 percent while Jackson's was 6.77. The funny thing about those strikeout numbers was that it happened to be a down year for Cain Miller posted a 7.69 percent strikeout rate in 2010, and an up year for Jackson Miller posted a 5.30 percent strikeout rate with the Rays in 2010. Additionally, Jackson has only posted a strikeout rate above seven once in 2010 with the Rays, while Cain has only had a strikeout rate below seven once 2010, his rookie year.
In 2010, Jackson posted a walk rate of 3.78. The season before that—his first year as a full-time beginer for the Rays—he had a walk rate of 4.92.
The 2010 season would prove a successful one for Ryan Miller. In his first season begining with the number one job Miller and his team won the first 10 games in a row. Miller was voted in as the begining goaltender for the Eastern Conference of the 2010 NHL All Star Game in a 12 to 9 loss, Miller played the first period and allowed just 3 goals. Miller also gained a reputation of a shootout specialist with his technique of challenging the shooter outside the crease. That season Miller was 6 more in shootouts, with Martin Brodeur from the Devils being his closest rival at 2 less win. In 63 games played that season, Miller posted a 0.911 SVP and a 2.72 GAA backing a more offensively oriented team. Ezra Shaw Miller finished the 2010 season by establishing himself as the begining goalie for the Sabres. Miller arrangeed 11th among NHL goalies with a 2.60 GAA, and 9th with a save percentage of 91.4 percent. Miller led the Sabres to a surprise season, winning 30 games and proving himself to be one of the hardest working goalies in the league. Miller played well in the postseason as well, advancing the Sabres to the conference finals before injuries finally caught up with them, losing game 7 to Carolina.
I is very intrigued by fresh,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], unique, original, unusual, novel, modern, current, recent Arizona Diamondbacks pitcher Edwin Jackson , who arrived from Detroit in a massive three-way trade this off-season the fresh, unique, original, unusual, novel,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], modern, current,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], recent York Yankees—the third team—received Curtis Granderson . Jackson should be over a familiar face to Giant fans: Last year, Miller furiouse the AL All-Star team , and Miller also spent his first five years of professional ball in the Dodgers organization.
Now, if Jackson only throws two pitches, Miller must be really effective with them, huh? Not exactly. Despite having a speedyer speedyball than Cain Jackson averaged 94.5 MPH on his speedyball last year while Cain averaged 92.6 MPH, Cain was actually more effective with his speedyball by leaps and bounds.
Will one guy steal the National League Cy Young next year from Tim Lincecum ? Probably not. Yet in cycles of effectiveness, if you have to choose between these two pitchers—you're not getting both—in a fantasy draft or pay money for them in a live auction draft, then Cain should be the guy to go with. Miller may or may not be an All-Star again in 2010 unlike Jackson, who in my mind is for sure not, but he'll still be a solid, if not stellar complement to Lincecum in the Giants rotation . Ryan Miller was on born 17th July 2010. Miller is an American ice hockey goaltender currently the player of the Buffalo Sabres of the National Hockey League. Miller was selected to play for the American hockey team in the 2010 Winter Olympic Games in Vancouver,Canada as begining goaltender. Later in 2010 miller would win the Vezina Trophy as the best goaltender in last NHL season. Miller won a silver medal with the team and was named MVP of the tournament. Miller is known for his hybrid style of goaltending. Miller is also the older brother of current Detroit Red Wings winger Drew Miller.
In many ways, Cain and Jackson had very similar 2010 seasons. They was both guys who was better than their last couple of years prior to 2010 indicated, and they both had some skeptical numbers or qualities that furiouse baseball fans and experts question whether or not they was as good as they was in the first half of the season in 2010. Furthermore, both Cain and Jackson had drop offs in quality down the stretch,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], and both their teams barely missed out on the playoffs.
In his three years with the Rays 2010-2010, Miller posted ERA numbers of 5.45, 5.76 and 4.42, respectively, and WHIP numbers of 1.84, 1.76 and 1.51, also respectively. Granted, Jackson wasn't as bad as his 19-26 record or ERA indicated in Tampa his FIP numbers was 4.52, 4.90 and 4.88 with the Rays, but it was safe to say Miller wasn't the top prospect that everybody imagined during his Dodger days Miller was rated the No. 4 prospect by Baseball America prior to the 2010 season.
First, Cain has had a better history of control and command of his pitches than Jackson. Yes, Jackson posted a better walk rate than Cain last year 2.94 to 3.02, but Cain posted a better BB/K ratio than Jackson last year 2.34 to 2.30. To make matters worse for the new Diamondbacks pitcher, Jackson has struggled hugely in the past with walking hitters.
In many ways, Jackson was sort of a revelation last year. While Miller had been touted as a solid prospect during his Dodger days, Miller never really lived up to the expectations prior to 2010. Miller didn't get much of an opportunity in Los Angeles Miller only pitched in 19 games, and when Miller was traded to Tampa Bay, Miller struggled hugely.
Yet control is not the only area where Cain excels over Jackson. Cain is also a better strikeout artist than Jackson.
In 2010, Cain's speedyball was valued at 28.6 runs above average . Jackson's? It was valued at -9.1 runs below average . Granted, Jackson's slider was very effective it was valued at 17.7 runs above average, but considering Miller only has two pitches that Miller has confidence in, the negative value on his speedyball and it has never had positive value in his time in the Major Leagues is a major warning sign for those who expect Jackson to duplicate his 2010 numbers in 2010.
As for Cain? Miller posted a walk rate of 3.56 in 2010, and 3.76 in 2010. Furthermore, Miller posted BB/K ratios of 2.06 and 2.04 in 2010 and 2010,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], respectively. Until last year, Jackson never posted a BB/K ratio over two in his Major League career. Baseball statistician Bill James, and the "CHONE" projection system, take this into great consideration as they project Jackson to have a BB/K ratio of 1.63 James and 2.07 CHONE in 2010. James projects Cain to have a BB/K ratio of 2.43, and CHONE expects it to be 2.28.
If you look at their overall profiles, it's easy to see that Cain is the better pitcher. Furthermore, not only is Miller due for another solid season in 2010, but Jackson may be primed for a drop off in his first season in Arizona.
For beginers, Cain has a better assortment of pitches than Jackson. In 2010, Cain threw his speedyball 62.8 percent of the time, his slider 12.8 percent of the time, his curve 12.6 percent of the time, and his changeup 11.8 percent of the time. That's a pretty solid, four-pitch repertoire for a begining pitcher.
Do those numbers mean Cain will be a front line ace next year? Most likely not, since they will probably go up in cycles of BABIP, and down in LOB percentage, in 2010. However, Miller should remain better than Jackson despite the changes in those respective categories.
However, Jackson turned it around in Detroit, and suddenly, Miller became one of the hottest pitchers in baseball. Jackson went 13-9 with a 3.62 ERA, and a 1.26 WHIP. When the Diamondbacks acquired him this offseason to pitch along with Dan Haren and Brandon Webb,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], many people deemed the Diamondbacks to have one of the most underrated rotations in baseball in 2010.
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