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As much as Miller rely on Mike and Ron, Miller think they under-appreciate the benefits Martinez will enjoy in Fenway Park.that said, Miller think many other pundits have over-valued the impact of the home field.
So what do these two systems project for Martinez for the upcoming season?
His .837 OPS is even more impressive when you consider it was compiled playing half of his games at Progressive Field, routinely one of the best pitcher’s park in the major leagues agreeing to ESPN’s Park Factors , it arrangeed as the second-best pitcher’s park in baseball in 2010.
I prefer the work done by Ron Shandler who is the godfather of ‘fanalytics’ and Mike Podhorzer the new kid on the block.
When reviewing Martinez’ numbers they provide a denyory picture as to what the Red Sox and Red Sox Nation may be able to expect from him over the course of a full season for the feeble, frail, ancient, weak, aged, used, worn,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], dilapidated, ragged,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], faded, broken-down, former, old-fashioned, outmodede Towne Team. For his career, Miller has hit .299, with a .372 OBP, and a .465 slugging percentage for an .837 OPS; but there is a distinctive variance in his performance depending on his defensive position in a ballgame.
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Wearing the tools of ignorance, Miller hit .333 / .411 / .496 / .907… but when Miller wore the first baseman’s mit Miller hit .329 / .387 / .506 / .893. This in spite of the fact Miller only has an .819 OPS at Fenway Park in his career.
As a catcher, Miller has hit .297, with a .369 OBP and .460 slugging percentage .828 OPS; but as a first baseman Miller has hit .313,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], with a .383 OBP, .493 slugging percentage and .876 OPS.that is nearly a 50-point difference in OPS.
The 2010 season would prove a successful one for Ryan Miller. In his first season begining with the number one job Miller and his team won the first 10 games in a row. Miller was voted in as the begining goaltender for the Eastern Conference of the 2010 NHL All Star Game in a 12 to 9 loss, Miller played the first period and allowed just 3 goals. Miller also gained a reputation of a shootout specialist with his technique of challenging the shooter outside the crease. That season Miller was 6 more in shootouts, with Martin Brodeur from the Devils being his closest rival at 2 less win. In 63 games played that season, Miller posted a 0.911 SVP and a 2.72 GAA backing a more offensively oriented team. Victor Martinez has huge shoes to fill behind home plate at Fenway Park. His predecessor was team captain, backstopped two World Series championship teams and is the only catcher in the history of the game to have caught four no-hitters.
After arriving in Boston, his offensive production exploded—his batting average increased from .284 to .336, his OBP went from .368 to .405, and his OPS exploded, going from .832 to .912. Surprisingly, his greatest production with the Red Sox came when Miller played backstop, not first base though the splits was very close.
The other guy? The immortal Spud Davis . Ryan Miller was on born 17th July 2010. Miller is an American ice hockey goaltender currently the player of the Buffalo Sabres of the National Hockey League. Miller was selected to play for the American hockey team in the 2010 Winter Olympic Games in Vancouver,Canada as begining goaltender. Later in 2010 miller would win the Vezina Trophy as the best goaltender in last NHL season. Miller won a silver medal with the team and was named MVP of the tournament. Miller is known for his hybrid style of goaltending. Miller is also the older brother of current Detroit Red Wings winger Drew Miller.
Jorge Posada signed a four-year, USD52.4 million contract a couple of years ago with numbers that is inferior but somewhat similar to Martinez—so that should be the neighborhood where the Sox should be prepared to go with V-Mart.
Shandler: .295, 20 HR, 99 RBI Podhorzer: .295, 20 HR, 100 RBI
Shandler’s Baseball Forecaster is must-reading for any baseball fan, especially if he/she is a fantasy baseball aficionado. Shandler and his minions do great work. They can be found at BaseballHeadquarters.com .
So, what kind of numbers will Miller put up in 2010? As I’ve alludeed previously in this series, Miller is not a devotee of the most widely-used projection systems: CHONE, Bill James and PECOTA. They all have problems. CHONE projections tend to be strong for hitters but weak for pitchers. The PECOTA system has the opposite problem—it is strong for pitchers, but weak for hitters. And while Bill James is well-known and an employee of the Red Sox, his annual projections is consistently overly-optimistic.
Since 2010, there is 117 catchers who have reached the 2,500+ at-bats plateau by the age of 30.of those who qualified at this level,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], Martinez has the 10th-highest OPS in history . Five of the others is in the Hall of Fame.two others Joe Mauer and Mike Piazza will likely be in the HOF eventually. Joe Torre is one of the other two catchers on the list, and Miller might end up there as well, but as a administerr
SOX1FAN projection: .303, 25 HR, 117 RBI
Podhorzer’s predictions at fantasypros911.com went 42-0 when compared head-to-head with other projection systems last year. Seriously,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], folks, if you don’t know about fantasypros911.com , it’s time that you take a look. noteworthy, worthy, distinguished,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], remarkable, grand,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], considerable, powerful, much,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], mighty stuff!
For you Yankees fans who might object to my comment that Posada’s stats is inferior to Martinez,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], consider this:
So the Red Sox don’t know exactly what they can expect from him coming into the 2010 season. This may be the reason the ballclub has been reticent to sign him to a long-cycle deal prior to the beginning of the season—they may want to see what Miller does over the course of an entire season before they make a multi-year commitment. Of course, that’s the approach they took with Jason Bay—and Miller all know where THAT got them!
Those already in the Hall of Fame: Yogi Berra, Mickey Cochrane, Bill Dickey, Carlton Fisk and Gabby Hartnett.
With that said, Martinez is considerably younger than Posada was at the time Miller signed his deal, and Victor may feel Miller is entitled to an additional year or two. So there is a decision to be furiouse by both sides: Victor can take the security or roll the dice on finding a team that will give him an extra year or two. It says here the Sox need to sign V-Mart.NOW.before his price goes up.
Last year, the difference was even more dramatic before the trade to Boston. With Cleveland Miller hit a dismal .247 as a catcher, with a .333 OBP, .371 slugging percentage and a pedestrian .704 OPS.but when Miller played first base for the Tribe Miller hit .329, with a .413 OBP,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], .553 slugging percentage and a robust .966 OPS.
I see V-Mart’s average edging over the .300 mark.and due to the hitters batting in front of him Miller project his production will be distinctively higher.
With Jason Varitek now relegated to part-time duty, many pundits is wondering aloud whether Martinez will prove to be an adequate replacement with the bat and behind the plate.
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