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Analysis of the current situation of China's grain supply and demand

3 years 10 months, the central and local levels of government attaches great importance to food security around the grain and oil crops in autumn and winter cultivation and spring field management, expand the area taken to strengthen management and a series of measures to ensure that the summer grain harvest of 2004; the same time and began preparing for the summer harvest, summer planting work, strive to achieve the goal of grain production in 2004, and for the future lay the foundation for sustainable development of food production. Fifth, you can take the initiative to regulate use of the international grain market surplus and deficiency. In particular, China has joined WTO, the future can be more proactive use of the international market. 2.2 The recent grain market fluctuations are unlikely to be a big addition to the above factors, there are two points worth noting: First, a correct view of the current food price increases. On the one hand, food prices are a manifestation of the role of market mechanism, enabling the resumption of development of grain production. Since the second half of 2003, the market has begun to moderate food prices rise, which is to mobilize farmers and grain producing areas in growing grain is a good signal. View from the laws of the market, food production up, and aggregate supply increase, will play a positive role in stabilizing the market. It should be noted, the current rise in food prices is basically the price of a reasonable return. Since 1998, domestic grain prices have been at a very low level. This current prices, the direct cause of two things: First, food production, inventory reduction, began having an impact on the market; Second, rising wheat prices on the international market, about 10% of U.S. soybean production cuts, which also affected the domestic market. Overall, the food prices, may indicate up to 6 years of grain prices are low end of a cycle. On the other hand,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], residents from the city to see the reaction to price increases, there is no grain and oil prices appear just the kind of open heart scare, there was no substantial buy. This shows that grain and oil prices,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the current level of income is the vast majority of urban residents can afford. Of course, the urban low-income population may be more vulnerable, with special attention to make their living problems (such as an appropriate increase in minimum standard.) Second, the national inventory and farmers from the current situation stocks, even if there is a greater natural disasters will not appear in the near future of global food shortages. Food is a special commodity people's livelihood, ensure food security is a long-term strategic task. Medium to long term, due to population growth, reduction of arable land, urbanization, improved living standards, China's grain demand will show a rigid growth, food supply and demand will be tight. Therefore, the need to develop stable and efficient food industry policy. Overall, the next few years, the focus of food policy should be proper control over food production shifted a reasonable recovery in food production. We should give full play to the market mechanism,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], in the past ten years, we have not really let the market mechanism in regulating the food supply and demand play a fundamental role. The market mechanism to give an opportunity to market to the farmers send a correct signal. On this basis, the strengthening of government regulation, to ensure national food security and promote the strategic adjustment of agricultural structure, the implementation of long-term goals of sustainable development strategies together; focused, effective protection and steadily improving grain production capacity, protection and major grain producing areas to mobilize the enthusiasm of farmers,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], especially in scientific and technological progress to improve yields, reduce production costs and work hard; the same time, we must continue to deepen the grain circulation system, improve the national food reserve system, a reasonable use of the international market. These should be the medium to long term to ensure food security in China's basic policy framework. Received date :2004-02-16 Call for Papers To meet the needs of readers, and better service for the system work, 2 from 2004, the magazine set the current focus column, inviting renowned experts,[link widoczny dla zalogowanych], the industry authority of the writer, for the promotion of the work and the focus of agricultural development, hot and difficult issues (including technical issues and operational issues), the depth and breadth of feature stories, and with a push around the factory sector agricultural practice in the relevant aspects of the article and, if necessary , introduced the background of knowledge and international developments and so on. 2, 2004 Focus on the theme of food security, we have organized to analyze the current situation of China's grain supply and demand of feature articles, supporting Henan Hua County Agricultural Technology Promotion Center published a notice of l2 a good job around the promotion of food production experience, and introduced The basic concept of food security and the index system. The future, we will corn, virus-free sweet potatoes, citrus industry and other major restructuring of technical problems and agricultural chain, primary agricultural extension system, extension system and optimizing internal mechanisms important issues cover story. Authors and readers enthusiastically welcome your comments. For the active layout, please try to provide photographs, annotated contact phone number. (Editorial Staff)